Simple Factor Realized Stochastic Volatility Models
Hiroyuki Kawakatsu
What the paper says
Abstract This paper considers the use of multiple noisy daily realized variance measures to extract a denoised latent variance process. The class of stochastic volatility models used for signal extraction has the important feature that they can be written as a linear state space model. As a result, prediction of the denoised latent variance and likelihood evaluation can be carried out efficiently using the Kalman filter. This is in contrast to stochastic models that jointly model the return and variance, which require computationally expensive nonlinear filtering for prediction and inference. The gain from using multiple noisy daily variance measures is examined empirically for the S&P 500 index using daily OHLC (open-high-low-close) data.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.00 × 0.4 = 0.00 |
| M · momentum | 0.20 × 0.15 = 0.03 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.