arbiter
JournalsPricingAccount

Evaluating the effects of recent geopolitical events on German-Russian trade: a CGE framework approach

Nicholas Tsounis & Gerassimos Bertsatos

International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics2026https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2026.151001article
AJG 1ABDC C
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

This study employs a multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to investigate the German-Russian trade relationship, with an emphasis on the effects of sanctions on Russian imports following Ukraine's invasion. The input-output (I-O) table from 2015 is used in the study to quantify the impact of these restrictions and the changes in Germany's production that follow. Various counterfactual scenarios are explored, which includes quota of 67% and 35% on energy and rest of the Russian imports respectively, as well as 30% ad-valorem tariff. The simulation of this quota scenario on the baseline model shows significant reductions in output and domestic use levels. Additionally, the counterfactual analysis of the 30% ad-valorem import tariff on Russian imports indicates a 1.7% overall price increase and a roughly 3.8% decrease in household welfare due to the sanctions.

Open paper page →

Cite this paper

https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2026.151001

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{nicholas2026,
  title        = {{Evaluating the effects of recent geopolitical events on German-Russian trade: a CGE framework approach}},
  author       = {Nicholas Tsounis & Gerassimos Bertsatos},
  journal      = {International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2026.151001},
}

Paste directly into BibTeX, Zotero, or your reference manager.

Flag this paper

Evaluating the effects of recent geopolitical events on German-Russian trade: a CGE framework approach

Flags are reviewed by the Arbiter methodology team within 5 business days.

Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.