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Earnings of university dropouts across Europe

Francesco Berlingieri & Theresa Bolz

Education Economics2025https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2025.2518379article
AJG 1ABDC B
Weight
0.37

Abstract

This paper investigates relative earnings of individuals leaving tertiary education without a degree across 18 European countries employing survey data on adult workers. We find that, on average, university dropouts earn 8% more than those never enrolling into tertiary education, but 25% less than university graduates. Moreover, university dropouts do not appear to have better employment chances than other upper secondary graduates while they have a significantly lower employment probability than those graduating from tertiary education. We document substantial heterogeneity across countries concerning whether university attendance without completion is rewarded in the labour market. We find some suggestive evidence that university dropouts are less penalised in terms of earnings in countries with a lower share of tertiary graduates and with more flexible labour market policies.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2025.2518379

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@article{francesco2025,
  title        = {{Earnings of university dropouts across Europe}},
  author       = {Francesco Berlingieri & Theresa Bolz},
  journal      = {Education Economics},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/09645292.2025.2518379},
}

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Earnings of university dropouts across Europe

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.