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Evaluating the Efficiency of the National Football League Betting Market  by  Testing the Profitability of  Suggested Gambling Rules

Jason Imbrogno & Tanner B. Staggs

The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics2025https://doi.org/10.5750/jgbe.v17i1.2130article
ABDC B
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

Gambling on professional sports is becoming more popular across the country as states legalize the practice, causing more participants to seek out profitable betting strategies. A number of academic papers over the past 40 years have found profitable gambling rules on National Football League games. We show that six of these supposedly profitable strategies identified previously in the literature fail to hold up over other time frames. The betting market in football is not inefficient with respect to the situations covered by these six strategies and the rules are not long-run profitable.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5750/jgbe.v17i1.2130

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{jason2025,
  title        = {{Evaluating the Efficiency of the National Football League Betting Market  by  Testing the Profitability of  Suggested Gambling Rules}},
  author       = {Jason Imbrogno & Tanner B. Staggs},
  journal      = {The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5750/jgbe.v17i1.2130},
}

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Evaluating the Efficiency of the National Football League Betting Market  by  Testing the Profitability of  Suggested Gambling Rules

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.