arbiter
JournalsPricingAccount

Positive and Negative County‐Level Fiscal Spillovers in China

Fei Guo et al.

Pacific Economic Review2026https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0106.70018article
AJG 2ABDC B
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

ABSTRACT County‐level fiscal spillovers are crucial in determining the role of cross‐county fiscal coordination in fulfilling national economic commitments. Using county‐level economic and fiscal spending data from 2010 to 2018, we examine the spillover of fiscal spending across China's regions through output, trade, investment and consumption linkages. Specifically, we find positive fiscal output, investment and employment spillovers and a temporary positive consumption spillover that turns negative over time. Consistent with extant studies, we also find that the county‐level fiscal spillover effect in China is comparable to that in the United States.

Open paper page →

Cite this paper

https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0106.70018

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{fei2026,
  title        = {{Positive and Negative County‐Level Fiscal Spillovers in China}},
  author       = {Fei Guo et al.},
  journal      = {Pacific Economic Review},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0106.70018},
}

Paste directly into BibTeX, Zotero, or your reference manager.

Flag this paper

Positive and Negative County‐Level Fiscal Spillovers in China

Flags are reviewed by the Arbiter methodology team within 5 business days.

Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.