Staying Power: A Leadership Trait and Survival Analysis of Modern Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom

Samuel R. Rohrer

Parliamentary Affairs2025https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf027article
AJG 2ABDC B
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

In exploring the tenure duration of British Prime Ministers, this study finds that leadership traits play a significant role in extending political longevity. Using Leadership Trait Analysis, this work examines parliamentary remarks to assess traits such as task focus, conceptual complexity, and need for power while controlling for systemic factors such as economic conditions and inter-state conflict. Findings from a Cox proportional hazards model show that task focused leadership is a significant predictor of longer tenure. Structured, goal-oriented decision-making may help leaders handle challenges that could otherwise shorten their tenure. These findings contribute to an understanding of how both psychological and systemic factors shape leadership duration.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf027

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@article{samuel2025,
  title        = {{Staying Power: A Leadership Trait and Survival Analysis of Modern Prime Ministers of the United Kingdom}},
  author       = {Samuel R. Rohrer},
  journal      = {Parliamentary Affairs},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsaf027},
}

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.