Surviving the start: mapping the causal architecture of new venture endurance

Ricardo Correia et al.

Journal of Modelling in Management2026https://doi.org/10.1108/jm2-10-2025-0572article
AJG 1ABDC C
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

Purpose This study aims to model the causal architecture of new venture survival from an enabling-conditions perspective. Design/methodology/approach Using cognitive mapping and Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM), the authors structure causal relations among 43 prioritized survival factors from a multidisciplinary expert panel and validate the hierarchy via MICMAC. Findings Product–market fit drives survival, human and strategic capabilities mediate it and financial outcomes are downstream consequences, reframing financial fragility as a symptom rather than a root cause. Originality/value The resulting framework supports diagnosis and intervention prioritization based on causal dependencies.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/jm2-10-2025-0572

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@article{ricardo2026,
  title        = {{Surviving the start: mapping the causal architecture of new venture endurance}},
  author       = {Ricardo Correia et al.},
  journal      = {Journal of Modelling in Management},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/jm2-10-2025-0572},
}

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.