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Kuznets at -7000: Is there a really long-term relationship between growth and inequality?

Timothy A. Kohler et al.

Structural Change and Economic Dynamics2026https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.007article
AJG 2ABDC B
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

• We use house sizes drawn from the archaeological record to proxy economic productivity and inequality • This allows estimation of these quantities and their relationship from the beginning of the Holocene • The technique is sensitive to historical developments such as the Roman invasion of Britain • Overall there is positive cumulation of both economic growth and wealth inequality We use archaeological data on house sizes to generate estimates for economic inequality and economic growth from near the beginning of the Holocene to about the first millennium AD. At worldwide scales these variables are positively but loosely related; patterns are more divergent at regional levels. Cross-sectional regression shows that the formation of central-place hierarchies and development of landesque capital (indicating land-limited production) were positively linked to both economic growth and inequality; development of bronze smelting, animal management, and farming were also positively linked to growth. Iron smelting was linked to reduced inequality whereas presence of copper smelting and animals for portage were linked to reduced growth. We track the dynamics of inequality and growth through time in SW Asia/SE Europe, Britain, and SE North America, and analyze the first two with general additive models. Examination of three well-known interaction zones (Bronze Age West Asia, the Classic Maya world, and first-millennium-AD Britain) shows surprisingly regular transformations of the relationship between economic growth and inequality on millennial time scales. Overall our findings emphasize a strong cumulative component to both economic growth (productivity) and economic inequality over the substantial portions of the pre-capitalist Holocene that we analyze.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.007

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@article{timothy2026,
  title        = {{Kuznets at -7000: Is there a really long-term relationship between growth and inequality?}},
  author       = {Timothy A. Kohler et al.},
  journal      = {Structural Change and Economic Dynamics},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2026.01.007},
}

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.