Container shipping trade and real GDP growth: A panel vector autoregressive approach
Nektarios A. Michail et al.
What the paper says
By employing a panel vector autoregressive approach, we show that containership trade is an important determinant of GDP growth. Using the full sample of sea-transported container boxes of 135 countries for ten years, we provide evidence that the amount of TEUs transported, both contemporaneously as well as in the previous year, has a significant positive effect on economic growth. This can be explained via the fact that TEUs have a positive effect on trade flows between countries and trade flows have long been shown to have a strong positive impact on real GDP growth.
21 citations
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.81 × 0.4 = 0.32 |
| M · momentum | 0.80 × 0.15 = 0.12 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.