OPTIMIZING ROAD SAFETY THROUGH A MULTI-TASK ENSEMBLE MODEL UTILIZING GENETIC ALGORITHM AND FEATURE SELECTION

Abid Saber et al.

Pesquisa Operacional2026https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2026.046.00295429article
AJG 1
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0.50

What the paper says

This paper introduces MTES-GA-DFS, a multi-task ensemble framework for road safety prediction. The proposed approach jointly predicts three key outcomes-accident severity, time of day, and accident hotspot-providing a unified view of road safety dynamics. Multiple heterogeneous base models are trained in parallel and combined through a stacking strategy using a multi-task meta-model. The stacking process is optimized via a genetic algorithm to select effective model combinations. In addition, a dynamic feature selection method is proposed to identify task- and model-specific relevant features, reducing dimensionality while preserving predictive performance. The proposed framework facilitates proactive interventions, supports efficient resource allocation, and enables informed decision-making for accident prevention. The framework is evaluated on the US Accidents dataset (2016-2023). Experimental results show an F1-score improvement of 22.56% and a reduction in false alarms of 47.24% compared to baseline approaches, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method for accurate and robust road safety prediction.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2026.046.00295429

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@article{abid2026,
  title        = {{OPTIMIZING ROAD SAFETY THROUGH A MULTI-TASK ENSEMBLE MODEL UTILIZING GENETIC ALGORITHM AND FEATURE SELECTION}},
  author       = {Abid Saber et al.},
  journal      = {Pesquisa Operacional},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-7438.2026.046.00295429},
}

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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