Armed conflicts and the expansion of old-age pensions in the Global South

Jakob Frizell et al.

Global Social Policy2026https://doi.org/10.1177/14680181261429928article
ABDC C
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

This article examines the impact of armed conflicts on the expansion of old-age pension systems in the Global South. Using new longitudinal data on pension coverage and focusing on 82 countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America between 1900 and 2014, the study combines descriptive analyses and logit regressions to assess the timing and likelihood of pension expansion during war and post-war periods. The analysis reveals that the probability of pension expansion increases during and particularly after war. Interestingly, the association is especially robust for civil wars. Post-war pension expansions are typically directed towards dependent workers, while self-employed groups benefit less. The results suggest that governments often use pension reforms as instruments of stabilisation and legitimacy in war-torn societies. The study contributes to comparative welfare research by highlighting the warfare-welfare nexus beyond the Western world and across different types of conflict.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/14680181261429928

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@article{jakob2026,
  title        = {{Armed conflicts and the expansion of old-age pensions in the Global South}},
  author       = {Jakob Frizell et al.},
  journal      = {Global Social Policy},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/14680181261429928},
}

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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