Calendar day anomalies: evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange
Tanvir Ahmed
What the paper says
This research investigates the seasonality of the Dhaka Stock Exchange in Bangladesh, focusing on the "January Effect" and "Monday Effect" (adjusted for Sunday). Analysing 5818 observations of the DSEX Index over 23 years spanning from 2000 to 2023, the study uses Dummy Variable Time-series Data to identify statistically significant seasonality patterns. For monthly data, results reveal no significant return in January, contrary to the established opinion attributed to people's inclination to initiate new endeavours in the New Year. May, June, and August show a positive abnormal return. For daily data, Sundays yield a negative abnormal return, being the first weekday in Bangladesh, and Thursdays yield a positive abnormal return. The returns are lower in the first two days than in the last three days. The findings are contrary to the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), which states that asset prices reflect all available information. This study reveals evidence of seasonality in the Bangladeshi stock market.
1 citation
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06 |
| M · momentum | 0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.