The Role of Climate Change and Transition to Net Zero in Shaping a Mid-Century next Normal
Bruce Prideaux et al.
What the paper says
Abstract The “‘next normal” is a term used to describe a future that is observably different from the “present normal.” A next normal may result from unexpected change, such as a crisis event, natural disaster, pandemic, or an expected event such as anthropogenic climate change. For the tourism industry to avoid unnecessary disruption, economic loss, and prepare for change, it is essential to understand the factors that underlie the transition from the “present normal” to a future “next normal.” To assist in understanding how a future next normal may affect the global tourism industry, this chapter briefly explores the threats climate change poses to the future welfare of the worldwide community. To demonstrate one approach for responding to a climate change-moderated future next normal, this chapter outlines a destination-level planning framework that can be used to prepare for the mid-century impact of the transition to net zero as a response to climate change. The main contributions of this chapter are to expand our understanding of the term “next normal,” including the roles that change and time play in this process, and outline a planning framework to assist destinations in planning for an anticipated next normal that will occur many decades in the future.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.