Predicting the Success of a Startup in Information Technology Through Machine Learning

Edilberto Vásquez et al.

International Journal of Information Technology and Web Engineering2023https://doi.org/10.4018/ijitwe.323657article
ABDC C
Weight
0.59

What the paper says

Predicting the success of a startup in information technology (SIT) is a very complex problem due to the diverse factors and uncertainty that affects it. The focus of automatic learning (ML) is promising because it presents good results for prediction issues; however, it presents a diversity of parameters, factors, and data that require consideration to improve prediction results. In this study, a systematic method is proposed to build a predictive model for SIT success, based on factors. The method consists of four processes, a hybrid model, and an inventory of 79 success factors. The method was applied to a database of 265 SITs from Australia with seven ML algorithms and three hybrid models based on the Voting strategy and the GreedyStepwise algorithm to reduce the factors. On average, precision increments in 11.69%, specificity in 3.25%, and accuracy in 21.75%; the prediction has precision of 82% and accuracy of 88%.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.4018/ijitwe.323657

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@article{edilberto2023,
  title        = {{Predicting the Success of a Startup in Information Technology Through Machine Learning}},
  author       = {Edilberto Vásquez et al.},
  journal      = {International Journal of Information Technology and Web Engineering},
  year         = {2023},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.4018/ijitwe.323657},
}

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Evidence weight

0.59

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.62 × 0.4 = 0.25
M · momentum0.80 × 0.15 = 0.12
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.