Who Prices Credit Rating Inflation?

Christoph Herpfer & Gonzalo Maturana

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis2026https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102391article
FT50AJG 4ABDC A*
Weight
0.50

Abstract

Credit rating agencies (CRAs) are less likely and slower to downgrade firms with performance-sensitive debt (PSD) if these downgrades increase borrowing costs. This effect is stronger when CRAs rate their most profitable clients and is not driven by selection into PSD contracts, by borrowers adjusting their leverage, or by borrowers hiding information. Originating banks price the CRAs’ conflicts of interest and sell loans with more embedded conflicts more frequently. In contrast, secondary market participants do not price conflicts of interest to the same extent. The recent settlements between the major CRAs and the U.S. government do not prevent rating inflation.

Open via your library →

Cite this paper

https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102391

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{christoph2026,
  title        = {{Who Prices Credit Rating Inflation?}},
  author       = {Christoph Herpfer & Gonzalo Maturana},
  journal      = {Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102391},
}

Paste directly into BibTeX, Zotero, or your reference manager.

Flag this paper

Who Prices Credit Rating Inflation?

Flags are reviewed by the Arbiter methodology team within 5 business days.


Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.