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The Crash Risk in Individual Stocks Embedded in Skewness Swap Returns

Paola Pederzoli

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis2026https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102445article
FT50AJG 4ABDC A*
Weight
0.50

Abstract

This article investigates crash risk premiums in individual stocks using skewness swaps. These swaps involve buying a stock’s risk-neutral skewness and receiving the realized skewness as a payoff. The strategy’s returns, which measure the skewness risk premium, are found to be consistently large and positive. This suggests investors are concerned about potential crashes in individual stocks and require substantial compensation for bearing this risk. Notably, significant results are mainly observed after the 2007/2009 financial crisis, indicating changes in post-crisis option market dynamics. Cross-sectional determinants of skewness swap returns include measures of systematic crash risk and stock overvaluation.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102445

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@article{paola2026,
  title        = {{The Crash Risk in Individual Stocks Embedded in Skewness Swap Returns}},
  author       = {Paola Pederzoli},
  journal      = {Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109025102445},
}

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0.50

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F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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