ssessing the risks from Australia’s economic exposure to China

James Laurenceson

Agenda: a journal of policy analysis and reform2021https://doi.org/10.22459/ag.28.01.2021.01article
ABDC B
Weight
0.45

Abstract

This paper suggests Australia's economic exposure to China creates three distinct risks: a Chinese growth shock that comes with a 'hard landing', a structural shift towards less import and natural resources-intensive Chinese growth, and the Chinese Government disrupting trade ties for coercive purposes. With external demand for Australia's goods and services largely exogenous, the scope to mitigate these risks by reducing exposure to China, without resorting to costly market intervention, is limited. At the same time, the probability and scale of each risk should not be overstated. Further undercutting the case for an intrusive public policy approach is the fact that effective mitigation mechanisms exist for the Australian economy as a whole, as well as for many businesses.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22459/ag.28.01.2021.01

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@article{james2021,
  title        = {{ssessing the risks from Australia’s economic exposure to China}},
  author       = {James Laurenceson},
  journal      = {Agenda: a journal of policy analysis and reform},
  year         = {2021},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22459/ag.28.01.2021.01},
}

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Evidence weight

0.45

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.26 × 0.4 = 0.10
M · momentum0.80 × 0.15 = 0.12
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.