Partisanship, Trump Favorability, and Americans’ Evaluations of the FBI
Carly Watts & James C. Garand
What the paper says
ABSTRACT Background While Republicans have traditionally been seen as supportive of US law enforcement, after 2016, many Republicans came to view the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) as politically biased due to its investigation of possible collusion with the Russian government by the Trump campaign. Aims We explore how partisanship and evaluations of Donald Trump affect evaluations of the FBI. We hypothesize that the relationship between partisanship and FBI evaluations is conditioned on individuals’ support for Donald Trump. Materials and Methods We use data from the 2020 and 2016 American National Election Survey (ANES) to analyze evaluations of the FBI. For the sake of comparison, we analyze evaluations of the police as a placebo case. Results We find: (1) there is a direct negative effect of Trump support on FBI evaluations, and (2) as support for Trump increases, the relationship between Republican partisanship and FBI evaluations is significantly diminished. We contrast FBI evaluations in 2020 to evaluations of the police in 2016 and 2020, finding that both Trump support and Republican partisan identification have direct positive effects on Americans’ support for the police.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.