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India-MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement: An Ex-Post Evaluation under Modern Gravity Framework

Mamta Kumari

Journal of Economic Integration2025https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2024054article
AJG 1ABDC C
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

Against the backdrop of expanding the tariff concession list of 450 products to 1500-2000 under India - Southern Common Market Preferential Trade Agreement (India-MERCOSUR PTA), the study analyses the effects of the India-MERCOSUR PTA on the trade flows of member states. The study employs structural gravity model framework to estimate total bilateral, unilateral, and heterogenous trade effects of this PTA. The results indicate that bilateral trade between India and MERCOSUR countries have increased by 63% at the expense of trade diversion from domestic sales. The study also provides evidence that PTA significantly increased India’s trade with non-MERCOSUR countries by 90%. In addition, the hypothesis of heterogeneity effects of PTA across each of its member countries and the direction of trade is confirmed by the estimates. Such empirical evidence of large average impacts on goods trade gives significant boost to the ongoing negotiations for further deepening the existing trade agreement.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2024054

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@article{mamta2025,
  title        = {{India-MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement: An Ex-Post Evaluation under Modern Gravity Framework}},
  author       = {Mamta Kumari},
  journal      = {Journal of Economic Integration},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2024054},
}

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India-MERCOSUR Preferential Trade Agreement: An Ex-Post Evaluation under Modern Gravity Framework

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.