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Hidden Dropout: Secondary Education (Unseen) Failure in Pandemic Times

Lorenzo Alderighi et al.

Journal of Human Capital2025https://doi.org/10.1086/738041article
AJG 3ABDC A
Weight
0.50

Abstract

We estimate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on hidden drop-out, a new measure indicating failure in achieving the minimum level of skills considered to be adequate for a student getting the high school diploma. We exploit the exogenous variation induced by the pandemic by comparing two cohorts of students (one affected and the other unaffected), within the same school. We find that hidden drop-out increases by 8.6 percentage points; the effect is stronger for students with lower levels of prior achievement, from poorer families, but also for those emotionally disrupted during assessments, and for those disclosing lower educational aspirations.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1086/738041

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@article{lorenzo2025,
  title        = {{Hidden Dropout: Secondary Education (Unseen) Failure in Pandemic Times}},
  author       = {Lorenzo Alderighi et al.},
  journal      = {Journal of Human Capital},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1086/738041},
}

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Hidden Dropout: Secondary Education (Unseen) Failure in Pandemic Times

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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