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The climate factor in Iranian migration patterns

M. P. Shiva & Hassan Molana

Middle East Development Journal2025https://doi.org/10.1080/17938120.2025.2504312article
ABDC C
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

In this study, we conduct an empirical analysis of the link between inter-province migration and local climate conditions in Iran, utilising national census data from 1996 to 2011. We focus on two primary climatic indicators: average annual temperature and precipitation levels. Employing a gravity model framework and spatial methods, our findings reveal a significant impact of these climate variables on migration flows between provinces. Regardless of the varied regression models and estimation techniques applied, our results consistently demonstrate that increased temperatures and decreased precipitation levels are influential drivers of out-migration. This study underscores the critical role of climate factors in shaping internal migration patterns in Iran.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/17938120.2025.2504312

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@article{m.2025,
  title        = {{The climate factor in Iranian migration patterns}},
  author       = {M. P. Shiva & Hassan Molana},
  journal      = {Middle East Development Journal},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/17938120.2025.2504312},
}

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The climate factor in Iranian migration patterns

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.