Storms, floods, landslides and elections in India's growing metropolises: Hotbeds for political protest?
Viktoria Jansesberger
Abstract
In cities of the Global South, floods, storms, and landslides strain already fragile infrastructure, often leading to destruction and hardship. While urban residents occasionally protest in response to such dire conditions, they often do not. I argue that sudden destructive weather events spark anti-government protests if they coincide with upcoming elections as organizing protests can serve as a strategy by political actors to gain attention and mobilize voters. Given the increased public attention, citizens might furthermore consider it a good time to voice their dissatisfaction. I test this hypothesis using novel self-compiled protest data on 19 Indian metropolises (2000–2019).
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.