Research that I have not yet done, but that I consider worth doing
Alasdair David Wilkie
Abstract
On the scientific method: "Furthermore, from the motion in latitude computed from our new method without those assumptions, we have proven that those very assumptions concerning sizes and distance are false, and have corrected them.We have done something similar with the hypotheses for Saturn and Mercury, changing some of our earlier, somewhat incorrect, assumptions because we later got more accurate observations.For those who approach this science in the true spirit of enquiry and love of truth ought to use any new methods they discover, which give more accurate results, to correct not merely the ancient theories, but their own too, if they need it.They should not think it disgraceful, when the goal they profess to pursue is so great and divine even if their theories are corrected and made more accurate by others beside themselves."Ptolemy, The Almagest, IV, 9 (translation by G J Toomer, Princeton, 1998)On random simulations:"What might have been is an abstraction Remaining a perpetual possibility Only in a world of speculation."T. S. Eliot, Burnt Norton, 1936 Having reached the age of 90, I realize (on the best actuarial grounds) that my future time to do the actuarial research that I would like to do is likely to be limited, so it is worth my while noting some ideas that I have had, and that others may like to take up.These come under a number of headings, relating to the work that I have done over past years.These include mortality (and IP), financial indices, and financial modeling.I then add a historical note, which interests me because of the accidental coincidence of names.Dr ule ahin has worked with me over several years on various topics, and after completing this paper, we plan to complete the research described in Section 1.1, then go back to the series of topics described in Section 3. How far we shall get with, these, if at all, we do not know.The remaining research described in Section 1 is mostly for the CMI to consider or not as it wishes, though the items might also be interesting to an academic researcher if the data could be made available.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.