Creative Destruction or Just a Reshuffle? Turnover Among Businesses and Jobs in South Africa

Justin Visagie et al.

South African Journal of Economics2026https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.70010article
AJG 1ABDC B
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

ABSTRACT The concept of creative destruction emphasizes how the turnover of businesses and workers drives innovation, productivity gains and aggregate economic growth, even as individual firms and employees experience disruption. This article leverages administrative tax data for South Africa that measures flows rather than stocks, enabling a dynamic analysis of labour and firm adjustments. Our findings reveal unexpectedly high levels of churn in both jobs and business establishments, suggesting fluid rather than rigid markets. However, job and business creation mirror destruction, resulting in low net growth. Moreover, sectoral shifts over time have not increased the share of tradables, implying that structural transformation has stalled.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.70010

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@article{justin2026,
  title        = {{Creative Destruction or Just a Reshuffle? Turnover Among Businesses and Jobs in South Africa}},
  author       = {Justin Visagie et al.},
  journal      = {South African Journal of Economics},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.70010},
}

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Creative Destruction or Just a Reshuffle? Turnover Among Businesses and Jobs in South Africa

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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