Public spending and inclusive growth: A cross-country empirical analysis
Md. Gazi Salah Uddin et al.
Abstract
We investigate the effects of different components of government spending on inclusive growth. More specifically, we consider the inclusive impact of public spending on environmental protection, health, education, housing, and social protection, all of which can conceivably promote inclusive growth. For our empirical analysis, we apply panel regressions and local projections to a comprehensive database of 191 countries between 1980 and 2023. Our evidence indicates that equity-promoting government spending reduces income inequality, as measured by the Gini index, and improves human development indicators. Moreover, our analysis reveals that poorer households benefit disproportionately, suggesting that targeted fiscal expenditures can promote equity. Notably, the inclusive effects are most pronounced in advanced economies, where robust fiscal frameworks support and amplify such effects. In contrast, emerging and developing economies experience more modest gains. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of well-designed public spending programs for equitable growth. Finally, we conduct state-dependent local projections and regional sub-sample analysis.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.