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Partisan abortions

Libertad González et al.

Journal of Population Economics2026https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-026-01151-5article
AJG 3ABDC A*
Weight
0.50

Abstract

We study the effect of unexpected government changes on fertility outcomes using administrative data on births and abortions in Spain. Following a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that, after the surprise loss of the party in power in 2004, municipalities with strong support for that party experienced a sharp immediate increase in abortions (of 0.05 pregnancy interruptions per 1000 women in the month after), as well as a decrease in pregnancies (of 0.14 monthly conceptions per 1000 women). We also find a short-term decrease in shotgun marriages. The election also had an immediate effect on economic expectations along partisan lines, a plausible channel for the impact on fertility.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-026-01151-5

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@article{libertad2026,
  title        = {{Partisan abortions}},
  author       = {Libertad González et al.},
  journal      = {Journal of Population Economics},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-026-01151-5},
}

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Partisan abortions

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.