The Effect of Lead Exposure on Children’s Learning in the Developing World: A Meta-Analysis

Lee Crawfurd et al.

World Bank Research Observer2024https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/lkae010article
AJG 2ABDC B
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0.50

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Abstract Around half of children in low-income countries have elevated blood-lead levels. What role does lead play in explaining low educational outcomes in these settings? We conduct a new systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies on the relationship between lead exposure and learning outcomes. Adjusting for observable confounds and publication bias yields a benchmark estimate of a $-0.12$ standard-deviation reduction in learning per natural log unit of blood lead. As all estimates are non-experimental, we present evidence on the likely magnitude of unobserved confounding, and summarize results from a smaller set of natural experiments. Our benchmark estimate accounts for over a fifth of the gap in learning outcomes between rich and poor countries, and implies moderate learning gains from targeted interventions for highly exposed groups ($\approx$ 0.1 standard deviations) and modest learning gains ($\lt 0.05$ standard deviations) from broader public health campaigns.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/lkae010

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@article{lee2024,
  title        = {{The Effect of Lead Exposure on Children’s Learning in the Developing World: A Meta-Analysis}},
  author       = {Lee Crawfurd et al.},
  journal      = {World Bank Research Observer},
  year         = {2024},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/lkae010},
}

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.44 × 0.4 = 0.18
M · momentum0.65 × 0.15 = 0.10
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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