Integrating Choquet portfolios and machine learning interpretability for robust cryptocurrency investment strategies
João Pedro M. Franco & Márcio P. Laurini
What the paper says
This study proposes an alternative approach to portfolio optimization in the cryptocurrency market by applying the Choquet integral portfolio, positioning it within the broader context of Robo-Advisor literature. This approach is based on pessimistic decision-making and employs higher order moments and captures asset interdependencies, thereby offering a notable advantage over traditional portfolio construction methods, including mean-variance optimization, naive diversification, and a Bitcoin-only portfolio. Furthermore, our study applies Machine Learning Interpretable Methods (Shapley and LIME) to identify the cryptocurrencies that drive portfolio returns over time. The findings highlight the significance of integrating interpretable machine learning tools with advanced portfolio models to furnish more profound insights into the determinants of portfolio performance, which consequently facilitates more informed and transparent investment decisions. Moreover, our findings aid investors in comprehending the methodology by which these automated processes allocate weights according to a portfolio model within the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.