Revisiting the Revenue-Spending Nexus in the United States: A Time-Frequency Perspective

Yu Wang

Journal of Time Series Econometrics2025https://doi.org/10.1515/jtse-2025-0004article
AJG 2ABDC B
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

Abstract This study reexamines the US federal revenue-spending nexus by applying continuous wavelet analysis to observations of 1792–2020. Specifically, we use the cross-wavelet phase difference and wavelet Granger causality test to make inferences concerning the lead-lag relationship between federal income and expenditures. The two methods agree on three empirical results. First, the spend-and-tax hypothesis is confirmed as the dominant pattern. Second, the negative tax-and-spend hypothesis also received moderate support. Third, an adverse effect of spending on revenue, which has not been suggested by any theory before, recently appeared in cycles shorter than four years. These findings’ theoretical, methodological, and policy implications are discussed at the end.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1515/jtse-2025-0004

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@article{yu2025,
  title        = {{Revisiting the Revenue-Spending Nexus in the United States: A Time-Frequency Perspective}},
  author       = {Yu Wang},
  journal      = {Journal of Time Series Econometrics},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1515/jtse-2025-0004},
}

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Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.