Abundance from Abroad: Migrant Income and Long-Run Economic Development

Gaurav Khanna et al.

The American Economic Review2026https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20241465article
FT50AJG 4*ABDC A*
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0.50

Abstract

We study how international migrant income prospects affect long-run development in origin areas. We leverage the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis exchange rate shocks in a shift-share identification strategy across Philippine provinces. Initial migrant income shocks are magnified six-fold over time, increasing domestic income, education levels, migrant skills, and high-skilled migration. Remarkably, 74.9 percent of long-run income gains come from domestic rather than migrant income. Trade driven impacts of exchange rate shocks are orthogonal to effects via migrant income. A structural model reveals that 19.7 percent of long-run income gains stem from educational investments. International migration fosters broad economic development in origin communities. (JEL F22, F31, G01, J24, J82, O15, O16)

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20241465

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@article{gaurav2026,
  title        = {{Abundance from Abroad: Migrant Income and Long-Run Economic Development}},
  author       = {Gaurav Khanna et al.},
  journal      = {The American Economic Review},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20241465},
}

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