Comprehensive reassessment of economic uncertainty and corporate investment
Kiryoung Lee & Yoontae Jeon
What the paper says
Purpose We revisit previous influential studies documenting a seemingly robust relationship between economic uncertainty and corporate investment. Design/methodology/approach We conduct analysis using a comprehensive list of 27 distinct economic uncertainty measures, controls based on 128 variables and consideration of intangible capital investment as well as physical capital investment. Findings We present novel evidence that, in contrast to the previous studies, S&P 500 option-implied volatility and the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index do not exhibit a robust relationship to corporate investment, while the monetary policy uncertainty measure by Husted et al. (2020) is the most significantly and robustly related to firms' investment decisions. The monetary policy uncertainty also has a long-lasting effect on investment for up to eight quarters. Originality/value We provide the first comprehensive study that provides reassessment of the relationship between the economic uncertainty measures and corporate investment with an expanded sample size and wide coverage.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.