How the large-scale early withdrawals from private pension plans were used: insights from young adults
Triin Bulõgina & Merike Kukk
What the paper says
This paper investigates the spending and financial behaviour of young adults in Estonia after they withdrew their pension savings from the previously mandatory second pillar. When the option was first implemented in 2021, one pension saver in five exercised it. We use account-level data to explore changes in spending and investing behaviour, and in bank savings and debt holdings among those withdrawing. Regression analysis of differences in growth rates over various time horizons between matched samples reveals that early withdrawals have substantial short-term impacts on spending and the financial situation of those making the withdrawal, but these effects subside within one year. Over 55% of the money withdrawn had been spent within three months and over 40% was used for repaying debts. The findings indicate that those who withdrew savings from their pension accounts did not adopt alternative retirement saving strategies, suggesting that early withdrawals worsen their long-term financial outlook.
1 citation
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06 |
| M · momentum | 0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.