The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Individuals' Risk and Time Preferences
Luc Meunier & Sima Ohadi
What the paper says
Crises, such as the COVID-19 crisis, are expected to affect individuals' risk and time preferences towards being more cautious. We test this hypothesis experimentally during the COVID-19 pandemic using a longitudinal design. In line with the general expectations of more cautious behaviors, we observe a significant increase in loss aversion and a decrease in present bias. The increase in loss aversion is driven by respondents who have negligible tangible assets, no children, and are from mainland Europe. The decrease in present bias leads to significantly higher discount factors (i.e., more patience) for the next three to four quarters. Older respondents drive this decrease in present bias. Further analysis reveals that this effect of age is explained by older individuals' perception of a higher risk of severe health consequences if one catches COVID-19.
5 citations
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.18 × 0.4 = 0.07 |
| M · momentum | 0.80 × 0.15 = 0.12 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.