The Australian Economy in 2025–26: Domestic Challenges in an Uncertain International Policy Environment

Matthew Greenwood‐Nimmo et al.

The Australian Economic Review2026https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8462.70049article
AJG 1ABDC B
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

ABSTRACT The Australian economy grew at a moderate pace in 2024–2025. Monetary policy gradually eased through 2025, with three rate cuts bringing the cash rate down to 3.6%. The labour market has softened further from its post‐pandemic state, but a resurgence of inflation in recent months places further monetary easing in doubt. Weak productivity growth remains a major domestic policy challenge. Geopolitical tensions, volatile tariff policies and the prospect of a stock market correction regarding the AI boom are downside risks heading into 2025/2026.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8462.70049

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@article{matthew2026,
  title        = {{The Australian Economy in 2025–26: Domestic Challenges in an Uncertain International Policy Environment}},
  author       = {Matthew Greenwood‐Nimmo et al.},
  journal      = {The Australian Economic Review},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8462.70049},
}

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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