arbiter
JournalsPricingAccount

Impacts of Trade Policy Uncertainties on US-China Bilateral Trade

Serdar Ongan & İsmet Göçer

The Chinese Economy: translation and studies2025https://doi.org/10.1080/10971475.2025.2449716article
ABDC B
Weight
0.37

What the paper says

The escalating Sino-US trade war has led to a global economic contraction and increased trade policy uncertainties. This study examines the impacts of the US and China’s Trade Policy Uncertainties (TPU Indexes) on these countries’ Bilateral Trade Balances (BTBs). Empirical findings reveal that both increases and decreases in the TPU Indexes of both the US and China significantly affect their respective BTBs. Furthermore, it can be concluded that China’s trade policy or Chinese exporters-importers react to China’s trade policy uncertainty within China more than the US trade policy or US exporters-importers to US trade policy uncertainty within the USA. Another important conclusion is that China’s trade policy or exporters-importers react more to their own trade policy uncertainty than the US’s trade policy uncertainty within China. The policy implications generated from the empirical findings of this study for policymakers in both countries are presented in the paper’s final section.

1 citation

Open paper page →

Cite this paper

https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/10971475.2025.2449716

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{serdar2025,
  title        = {{Impacts of Trade Policy Uncertainties on US-China Bilateral Trade}},
  author       = {Serdar Ongan & İsmet Göçer},
  journal      = {The Chinese Economy: translation and studies},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/10971475.2025.2449716},
}

Paste directly into BibTeX, Zotero, or your reference manager.

Flag this paper

Impacts of Trade Policy Uncertainties on US-China Bilateral Trade

Flags are reviewed by the Arbiter methodology team within 5 business days.

Evidence weight

0.37

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06
M · momentum0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.