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Using uncertainty regional shocks to assess the relationship between the COVID-19 crisis and economic regional cycles in Brazil

Michel Cândido de Souza et al.

Estudos Economicos2025https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575533mjoarticle
ABDC C
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

Abstract We estimate the effects of COVID-19 on regional economic cycles through uncertainty shocks, using quarterly data (from 2007 to 2022) for 13 Brazilian federative units. The results point to heterogeneity in two ways: persistence of simulated shocks and output recovery speed. Consequently, we found evidence supporting the hypothesis of asymmetric reactions, a feature directly related to resilience over external idiosyncrasies. Therefore, our analysis indicates that the states that react less to external shocks are most likely to recover quickly compared to more susceptible regions.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575533mjo

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@article{michel2025,
  title        = {{Using uncertainty regional shocks to assess the relationship between the COVID-19 crisis and economic regional cycles in Brazil}},
  author       = {Michel Cândido de Souza et al.},
  journal      = {Estudos Economicos},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575533mjo},
}

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Using uncertainty regional shocks to assess the relationship between the COVID-19 crisis and economic regional cycles in Brazil

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.