The economics of Canadian immigration levels

Matthew Doyle et al.

Canadian Journal of Economics / Revue Canadienne D'Economique2025https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12760article
AJG 3ABDC A
Weight
0.43

Abstract

If immigration can benefit the Canadian economy, but must be limited to realize the benefit, what is the optimal level? The Canadian government is increasing immigration rates to levels not reached since the 1920s in the hope of addressing labour shortages and sluggish economic growth. We argue that economic immigration in the Canadian context should aim to raise GDP per capita in the population, including the newcomers, and examine the potential for increases in Canadian immigration rates to achieve this objective. Our analysis suggests that Canada is not well positioned to leverage heightened immigration to increase GDP per capita owing primarily to weak capital investment and quantity–quality tradeoffs in immigrant selection. We propose a policy rule for defining the optimal level of economic immigration.

3 citations

Open via your library →

Cite this paper

https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12760

Or copy a formatted citation

@article{matthew2025,
  title        = {{The economics of Canadian immigration levels}},
  author       = {Matthew Doyle et al.},
  journal      = {Canadian Journal of Economics / Revue Canadienne D'Economique},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12760},
}

Paste directly into BibTeX, Zotero, or your reference manager.

Flag this paper

The economics of Canadian immigration levels

Flags are reviewed by the Arbiter methodology team within 5 business days.


Evidence weight

0.43

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.32 × 0.4 = 0.13
M · momentum0.55 × 0.15 = 0.08
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.