A Theory-Based Formal-Econometric Interpretation of an Econometric Model
Bernt P. Stigum
Abstract
The references of most of the observations that econometricians have are ill defined. To use such data in an empirical analysis, the econometrician in charge must find a way to give them economic meaning. In this paper, I have data and an econometric model, and I set out to show how economic theory can be used to interpret the variables and parameters of my econometric model. According to Ragnar Frisch, that is a difficult task. Economic theories reside in a Model World and the econometrician’s data reside in the Real World; the rational laws in the model world are fundamentally different from the empirical laws in the real world; and between the two worlds there is a gap that can never be bridged To accomplish my task, I build a bridge between Frisch’s two worlds with applied formal-econometric arguments, invent a pertinent model-world economic theory, walk the bridge with the invented theory, and use it to give economic meaning to the variables and parameters of my econometric model. At the end I demonstrate that the invented theory and the bridge I use in my analysis are empirically relevant in the empirical context of my econometric model.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.