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Returns to experience and the elasticity of labor supply

Scott French & Tess Stafford

Review of Economic Dynamics2026https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2026.101323preprint
AJG 3ABDC A*
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

When wages increase with work experience, estimation of standard labor supply models that assume exogenous wage formation suffers from omitted variable bias and produces downward-biased estimates of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES). We test this theory in a novel way. Using a large data set of the daily labor supply decisions of Florida fishermen, we identify a sample of highly-experienced, near-retirement fishermen, for whom the returns to experience are negligible and the standard model is a close approximation. Using this sample, we estimate an IES of 2.7, more than twice estimates that ignore the role of learning-by-doing.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2026.101323

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@article{scott2026,
  title        = {{Returns to experience and the elasticity of labor supply}},
  author       = {Scott French & Tess Stafford},
  journal      = {Review of Economic Dynamics},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2026.101323},
}

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Returns to experience and the elasticity of labor supply

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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