Weathering the Storm
Ravipa Rojasavachai et al.
Abstract
This study examines the financial consequences of extreme weather using data from the Australian Actuaries Climate Index (AACI), which tracks temperature, rainfall, drought, wind, and sea level. Employing both a simple average of AACI components and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), we use a vector autoregression (VAR) model to identify financial market disruptions, including inflationary pressures from food and energy prices, declines in interest rates, and rising unemployment. Energy consumption spikes highlight asset allocation challenges, while Core CPI experiences significant volatility. These findings emphasize the role of extreme weather shocks in shaping inflation dynamics and broader financial stability.
1 citation
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.16 × 0.4 = 0.06 |
| M · momentum | 0.53 × 0.15 = 0.08 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.