Migration Status and Remittance Behavior: New-Survey Evidence from Egypt
Kevin Smith & Ahmed Wassal Elroukh
Abstract
This paper makes the first empirical contribution to investigating the relationship between migration status and remittance behavior among Egyptian migrants. Using new individual-level data from the 2023 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey and a probit regression, this paper estimates the impact of having legal entry to and work authorization in the host country on the likelihood of sending remittances. Additionally, the paper utilizes a supervised machine learning approach, the Random Forest algorithm, to identify the most influential variables in predicting remittance behavior. The analysis finds that legal entry into a host country plays a significant role in remittance behavior, with an increase in remittance by 16 percentage points compared to those with no legal entry. However, the Random Forest analysis suggests that being a married woman is the most influential factor associated with a higher likelihood of remitting.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.