Renewable energy and economic growth in Morocco: Exploring the short- and long-run relationships

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Type of the article: Research ArticleAbstractThis study examines the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in Morocco, while accounting for trade openness and CO₂ emissions per capita. Using annual data covering the period 1990–2024 and applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, the analysis captures both short-run dynamics and long-run relationships among the variables. The empirical results proved a long-term equilibrium relationship, as the bounds test rejects the null hypothesis of no cointegration, with the calculated F-statistic exceeding the upper critical bound I (1) at 10%, 5%, and 1% significance levels, and the error correction term being negative and highly significant (ECT = −0.2909), indicating that approximately 29% of short-run deviations from equilibrium are corrected each year. In the short term, the effects of renewable energy consumption on economic growth are mixed and largely delayed: while contemporaneous changes are not statistically significant, a positive and significant effect emerges after two periods. Trade openness exerts a positive and statistically significant influence with lagged effects, suggesting that increased trade activity stimulates economic growth in the short term. By contrast, CO₂ emissions per capita show an immediate positive but insignificant effect, followed by delayed negative and significant effects, reflecting short-term growth gains accompanied by subsequent environmental pressures. In the long run, renewable energy consumption and CO₂ emissions per capita are associated with a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth, whereas the long-run impact of trade openness, despite a positive coefficient, remains statistically insignificant.