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On the Historical Roots of Interstate Conflicts: Evidence From Folklore Motifs

Marcello D’Amato & Francesco Flaviano Russo

Journal of Conflict Resolution2026https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027261441301article
AJG 3ABDC A*
Weight
0.50

What the paper says

We show empirically that interstate conflicts are less likely among countries that share more of their oral tradition. Popular tales and narratives are related to expectations and beliefs about other parties’ behavior, and larger cultural similarities reduce negotiation failures between states. To validate this interpretation, we show that countries with more oral tradition in common are more likely to form military alliances, more likely to participate in the same international organizations, more likely to vote similarly in the UN general assembly, more likely to trade with each other and, in case a conflicts breaks out, more likely to terminate it with a negotiation.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027261441301

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@article{marcello2026,
  title        = {{On the Historical Roots of Interstate Conflicts: Evidence From Folklore Motifs}},
  author       = {Marcello D’Amato & Francesco Flaviano Russo},
  journal      = {Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  year         = {2026},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027261441301},
}

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On the Historical Roots of Interstate Conflicts: Evidence From Folklore Motifs

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.