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Forecasting Economic Cycles with Time Series PLS-SEM: Evaluating Reflective vs. Formative Specification of PCA-Derived Indicators

Jeerawadee Pumjaroen

Journal of Business Cycle Research2025https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-025-00116-zarticle
ABDC B
Weight
0.50

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-025-00116-z

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@article{jeerawadee2025,
  title        = {{Forecasting Economic Cycles with Time Series PLS-SEM: Evaluating Reflective vs. Formative Specification of PCA-Derived Indicators}},
  author       = {Jeerawadee Pumjaroen},
  journal      = {Journal of Business Cycle Research},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/s41549-025-00116-z},
}

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Forecasting Economic Cycles with Time Series PLS-SEM: Evaluating Reflective vs. Formative Specification of PCA-Derived Indicators

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Evidence weight

0.50

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20
M · momentum0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

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