Impacts of an employer’s contributory pillar: evidence from Chile
Marcela Parada‐Contzen et al.
What the paper says
We estimate labor demand elasticities to predict the employment effects of an employer’s contributory pillar in Chile’s pension system. The Chilean system has been a model for reform in many countries worldwide. We find labor demand to be inelastic, with baseline estimates ranging from −0.27 to −0.91. We predict that the implementation of an employer contributory pillar with contribution rates of 1% increase would increase unemployment rates by 0.20 to 0.71 percentage points (pp) from a baseline unemployment of 6.51%. Our results show sizable differences in labor demand elasticities and employment impacts by industry and workforce characteristics. Simulations imply implementing a uniform employer contributory pillar would especially reduce employment for low-skilled workers and workers in industries where labor is easily substitutable.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.