Wider Computer-Test Use to Assess-Risk-Manage (ARM) Cuts U.S. Yearly 10,000-Violence-Deaths &Saves $322B-$1.2T-Violence-Cost-by Diverting High-Risk-Persons
Robert John Zagar et al.
What the paper says
Summary.—Ask Standard Predictor (AS) and Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI-2/A) computer-tests find high-risk persons with 3-or-4 out of a “7-point-high-risk-profile”(addiction-alcoholism, deception, depression, antisocial-behavior, paranoid-ideation, schizophrenic-thinking, violence), based on 320,051-persons, 212-studies, 95-years, with 97% objectivity, reliability, sensitivity, specificity, validity, compared to current ways that miss 61% (homicidal, mass or serial-murdering, sex-offending, overdosing, suicide-completers), costing U.S. $2.36T/year. One solution is teaching insurance executives to copy in 100 cities, “1-summer-Chicago-youth-job-program” 311,599 high-risk youth, over 17-years, targeted with ASP-replicated-equation, diverted with jobs, mentors, anger-training [ROI = $6.42/$], saving $3.6B-$5.3B, preventing 1,242 homicides, lowering shootings 46%, violent offenses 77%. Another solution is weekend, business-university-department workshops on the math and science with 124 real-life-stories of finding-high-risk-persons and taking the 2 computer tests for leadership (education, energy, health, military, nonprofit-religious, police, prisons, transportation, ROI = $2-323/$) lowering high-risk, saving hundreds of billions. Insurance-brokers mandating workshop attendance in professional liability contracts lower victim payouts, lost profits, and trauma.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.