Tax administration digitization and corporate tax avoidance: a quasi-natural experiment based on the Golden Tax III project in China

Larry Su

Baltic Journal of Economics2025https://doi.org/10.1080/1406099x.2025.2488723article
AJG 1ABDC C
Weight
0.46

What the paper says

This paper explores the governance effect of tax administration digitization on corporate tax avoidance. Using data from 2,032 firms publicly listed in China during 2010 and 2020, our paper is among the first to report that the development of digital technologies such as big data and cloud computing has a restraining effect on corporate tax avoidance behavior. Our study is based on the Golden Tax III project implemented by the Chinese government from 2013 to 2016 as a quasi-natural experiment. Our staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model shows that the digitization of tax collection and management effectively reduces corporate tax avoidance behavior. Moreover, this impact is larger for private firms, firms in regions with low financial development, firms with low auditor quality, and firms with low internal control quality. Our results are robust to parallel trend tests, placebo tests for causal inference, alternative measures of tax avoidance, and other tax-related policy specifications.

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https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1406099x.2025.2488723

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@article{larry2025,
  title        = {{Tax administration digitization and corporate tax avoidance: a quasi-natural experiment based on the Golden Tax III project in China}},
  author       = {Larry Su},
  journal      = {Baltic Journal of Economics},
  year         = {2025},
  doi          = {https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1406099x.2025.2488723},
}

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Evidence weight

0.46

Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40

F · citation impact0.37 × 0.4 = 0.15
M · momentum0.60 × 0.15 = 0.09
V · venue signal0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03
R · text relevance †0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20

† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.