Examining the Best Investment Product Ever Made
Todd Feldman & Chris Yost-Bremm
What the paper says
This article examines MicroStrategy’s unconventional approach to corporate finance—issuing equity and zero-coupon convertible debt and issuing shares to accumulate Bitcoin. Using historical data and expanded Monte Carlo simulations, the authors estimate the probability of Bitcoin’s price declining below critical levels over a typical five- to seven-year debt-maturity window. Results show that the strategy remains solvent except under extreme structural breaks in Bitcoin’s long-term growth. Dilution, rather than insolvency, emerges as the primary equity holder risk. Comparative analysis versus crypto-fund benchmarks demonstrates that MicroStrategy’s stock exhibits the risk-adjusted return profile of a moderately leveraged digital-asset fund. Broader adoption of this model could reshape corporate treasury management, influence monetary policy, and accelerate the integration of digital assets into conventional finance.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.