Emerging market riskiness and uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic
Burçin Kısacıkoğlu
What the paper says
This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty spillovers on emerging markets. We focus on COVID-19-related news as news about global uncertainty and estimate the dynamic response of high-frequency risk measures in emerging markets. Using heteroskedasticity-based estimation and aggregate emerging market indices, we show that heightened uncertainty increases government bond and CDS spreads and decreases stock prices. Using seven emerging markets, we show that country-level risk measures respond to uncertainty consistently with aggregate measures. We argue that the results are consistent with standard consumption-based asset pricing theory.
Evidence weight
Balanced mode · F 0.40 / M 0.15 / V 0.05 / R 0.40
| F · citation impact | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
| M · momentum | 0.50 × 0.15 = 0.07 |
| V · venue signal | 0.50 × 0.05 = 0.03 |
| R · text relevance † | 0.50 × 0.4 = 0.20 |
† Text relevance is estimated at 0.50 on the detail page — for your query’s actual relevance score, open this paper from a search result.